Residents across the Finger Lakes and Central New York are once again bracing for a return of **snow showers** this weekend, as an incoming weather system is expected to bring a wintry mix back to the region. After a brief spell of above-average temperatures earlier this month, forecasters are warning that the climate is shifting once again, with cold air sweeping in from the north and setting the stage for potentially slippery road conditions and limited visibility.
The unsettled pattern is due to a persistent low-pressure system impacting much of the Northeast. Meteorologists caution that although we’re nearing the end of winter, these flares of snowfall are not unprecedented—and residents should stay prepared. Snowfall amounts won’t be record-breaking, but the timing and intensity of showers could impact hiking enthusiasts, weekend travel plans, and outdoor events. Travel advisories are possible in areas where snow squalls reduce visibility and rapidly coat roads.
Weekend Snowfall Forecast at a Glance
| Region | Expected Snowfall | Peak Timing | Weather Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| Syracuse metro | 1-3 inches | Saturday afternoon to evening | Minor commuting disruptions |
| Finger Lakes (Ithaca, Geneva) | 2-4 inches | Late Saturday through Sunday | Snow-covered roads possible |
| Oswego County | 3-5 inches (lake effect) | Saturday night into early Monday | Hazardous driving, blowing snow |
| Southern Tier (Elmira/Binghamton) | 1 inch or less | Sunday morning | Minimal impact |
Weather system fueling the late-season snow
According to meteorologists, the snow showers are being driven by a **classic dip in the jet stream**, pulling Arctic air down into the northeastern United States. This cold air aloft increases atmospheric instability, leading to bursts of snow, some of which may be quite heavy at times, especially near the Lake Ontario shoreline.
The interaction of cold upper air and relatively warmer lake water can lead to **localized lake-effect snow bands**, particularly impacting regions like Oswego and northern Onondaga Counties. These bands can shift rapidly and may produce snow at rates exceeding one inch per hour in the most intense zones.
We’re likely to see fast-moving snow squalls in the usual lake-effect corridors. Motorists should expect sudden drops in visibility and slick conditions even if temperatures hover near the freezing mark.
— Dr. Lillian Sparks, Meteorologist
Timing and location: What to expect and when
The timing of the snow showers will vary slightly by region, but forecasts currently indicate that **Saturday afternoon into Sunday morning** will be the critical window for most of Central New York and the Finger Lakes. The heaviest accumulations are likely to fall overnight Saturday, lingering into early Sunday, with some bands persisting into Sunday night for areas downwind of Lake Ontario.
Forecasters emphasize that precipitation may come in **waves**, with intense bursts separated by lulls of calmer weather. In some areas, this will manifest as sporadic snow squalls, while other regions may experience more uniform flurries with lower but steady accumulations.
Driving and travel implications for the weekend
With snow impacting some of the region’s most heavily traveled corridors—including I-81, I-90, and Route 14—travelers are urged to monitor conditions closely before heading out. While snowfall will be relatively modest compared to major winter storms, the **potential for squalls and icy patches** cannot be overlooked.
Snowfall totals are unlikely to trigger significant closures, but officials warn that **changing conditions within short distances** could easily catch drivers off guard. Temperature drops after sunset may also cause wet roadways to ice over, particularly on bridges and overpasses.
While this system won’t deliver blockbuster snow totals, the localized nature of snow squalls makes it vital for drivers to stay vigilant, especially after dark.
— Sgt. Ivan Cortez, NY State Police
Impacts on outdoor weekend events and activities
Winter sports enthusiasts may welcome the return of **fresh powder**, but caution is still recommended. Ski areas in the southern Adirondacks and the higher elevations of the Finger Lakes could pick up several inches of snow, enhancing trail conditions while also posing avalanche risks on backcountry terrain.
Meanwhile, for those planning outdoor events, snow and wind gusts up to 25 mph could limit visibility and comfort. Community officials in several towns are considering rescheduling or moving farmers’ markets and local festivals that were slated for Saturday afternoon.
Winners and losers from the snow showers
| Winners | Losers |
|---|---|
| Ski resorts and snowmobilers | Event organizers |
| Winter hobbyists | Weekend travelers |
| Photographers looking for wintry scenes | Commuters with early Monday drives |
Short-term cold snap follows weekend snow
Alongside the snow showers, another concern is the **brief cold snap** that will follow the weather system. Highs on Sunday and Monday are expected to remain below seasonal norms, with many communities struggling to crack above 30°F. Morning lows across the region could dip into the teens, especially in rural valleys.
This drop in temperature could extend **wintry conditions** through early next week, with the possibility of black ice and lingering icy patches on shaded roadways—particularly during the morning commute on Monday.
When could warmer temperatures return?
The good news for those winter-weary is that the current forecast models suggest a **moderating trend mid-to-late next week**, with highs climbing back to the low-to-mid 40s across Central New York. However, weather officials caution that we’re still within the window for **spring snow surprises**, especially in lake-effect zones.
While no significant warm fronts are imminent, the overall longer-term outlook for March and early April hints at **more frequent warmups**, potentially leading to an earlier-than-usual leaf-out and rising river levels from snowmelt.
How to prepare and stay safe this weekend
Fortunately, dealing with snow showers does not have to be disruptive. By staying informed and taking simple precautions, most Central New Yorkers can navigate the weekend without incident. Here’s how:
- Check the latest forecast updates on Friday and Saturday morning.
- Leave extra commute time if traveling Saturday evening or Sunday morning.
- Keep an emergency kit in your vehicle with blankets, snacks, and a flashlight.
- Allow extra stopping distance on snowy or icy roads.
- Clear snow from windshields and headlights before driving.
These are typical end-of-season systems—light to moderate, but occasionally disruptive. Preparedness is the key, especially for folks living along snowy Lake Ontario corridors.
— Howard McNeil, Weather Preparedness Consultant
Frequently Asked Questions About This Weekend’s Snow Showers
How much snow can Central New York expect this weekend?
Most areas will receive between 1 to 4 inches, with higher totals possible near Lake Ontario due to lake-effect bands.
When will the snow start falling?
Snow showers are expected to begin Saturday afternoon, intensifying into the night and tapering off Sunday evening.
Will roads be dangerous for driving?
Some roads may become slick during snow squalls, especially Saturday evening and overnight. Caution is advised.
Is this the last snowstorm of the season?
Not necessarily. While this could be one of the final notable events, occasional snow systems are still possible in early spring, especially in higher elevations.
How cold will it get after the snow moves out?
Morning lows could fall into the teens Sunday and Monday, with daytime highs in the 20s and 30s.
Which areas are most at risk for lake-effect snow?
Oswego, northern Onondaga, and parts of Cayuga Counties are likely to see intensified lake-effect snow from Lake Ontario.
Will school or event cancellations be likely?
Unlikely. However, certain outdoor events on Saturday afternoon may be rescheduled or moved indoors due to snow and winds.
Should I delay travel this weekend?
If you can, try to avoid travel during the height of the snow—Saturday night into early Sunday—as visibility and conditions may be poor in spots.